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    Radiative impact of ozone on temperature predictability in a coupled chemistry-dynamics data assimilation system

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    Authors
    De Grandpré, J.
    Ménard, R.
    Rochon, Y.J.
    Charette, C.
    Chabrillat, S.
    Robichaud, A.
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    Discipline
    Earth and related Environmental sciences
    Subject
    Assimilation system
    Coupled chemistry
    Coupled models
    Data assimilation
    Data assimilation systems
    FORECAST model
    Linearized methods
    Lower stratosphere
    Michelson interferometer for passive atmospheric soundings
    Non-interactive
    Northern Hemispheres
    Ozone analysis
    Ozone assimilation
    Ozone distribution
    Ozone forecast
    Ozone forecasting
    Ozone measurements
    Photochemical interactions
    Radiative impacts
    Root-mean square errors
    Southern Hemisphere
    Stratospheric chemistry
    Temperature forecasts
    Time-scales
    Variational data assimilation
    Atmospheric spectra
    Atmospherics
    Climatology
    Data processing
    Heating
    Heating rate
    Michelson interferometers
    Ozone
    Radiosondes
    Sulfur compounds
    Systematic errors
    Three dimensional
    Upper atmosphere
    Value engineering
    Weather forecasting
    Atmospheric temperature
    air temperature
    climate prediction
    data assimilation
    Northern Hemisphere
    ozone
    radiative forcing
    radiosonde
    Southern Hemisphere
    stratosphere-troposphere interaction
    weather forecasting
    Audience
    Scientific
    Date
    2009
    Metadata
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    Description
    The objective of this study is to investigate the impact on temperature forecast of using ozone analyses for the computation of heating rates in a three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3D-Var) system with a coupled model. The system is based on a tropospheric-stratospheric forecast model that includes a comprehensive stratospheric chemistry module for online resolution of the dynamical, radiative, and photochemical interactions. The system assimilates conventional observations as well as temperature and ozone measurements from the Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS) instrument. Several data assimilation cycles have been performed over the period August-October 2003 to produce a set of analyses that have been used for launching an ensemble of 10-day forecasts. Temperature and ozone forecasts have been compared with MIPAS and radiosonde observations in different regions. Results show that, in the absence of ozone assimilation, the impact of using a prognostic ozone distribution for the computation of heating rates as opposed to monthly mean climatologies is generally neutral. With the addition of ozone assimilation, the improvement against a noninteractive assimilation system is systematic and occurs over a wide range of time scales throughout the lower stratosphere. The improvement on 6-h temperature forecasts is mainly seen in the Southern Hemisphere, where ozone analyses are in good agreement with observations. For 10-day forecasts, the impact of using ozone analyses is more important in the Northern Hemisphere, where it improves the temperature predictability by more than 1 day at 50 hPa. Comparisons with analyses also show a systematic reduction of the temperature root-mean-square errors and biases throughout the assimilation period. The overall results demonstrate that a comprehensive coupled 3D-Var system that incorporates the radiative feedback from ozone analyses can be used for improving temperature predictability throughout the stratosphere. Comprehensive approaches can be used as a benchmark for the development of linearized methods for improving temperature and ozone forecasting in the region. © 2009 American Meteorological Society.
    Citation
    De Grandpré, J.; Ménard, R.; Rochon, Y.J.; Charette, C.; Chabrillat, S.; Robichaud, A. (2009). Radiative impact of ozone on temperature predictability in a coupled chemistry-dynamics data assimilation system. , Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 137, Issue 2, 679-692, DOI: 10.1175/2008MWR2572.1.
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/3305
    doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2008MWR2572.1
    scopus: 2-s2.0-68249144478
    Type
    Article
    Peer-Review
    Yes
    Language
    eng
    Links
    NewsHelpdeskBELSPO OA Policy

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