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    Assessment of modelling uncertainties in long-TERm climate and sea level change projections'Aster' : final report (ASTER)

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    Authors
    Fichefet, Thierry
    Huybrechts, Philippe
    Mouchet Anne
    Discipline
    Earth and related Environmental sciences
    Biological sciences
    Subject
    SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT POLICY
    Audience
    Policy-Oriented
    Scientific
    Date
    2012
    Publisher
    Brussels : Federal Science Policy, 2012
    Metadata
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    Description
    We used LOVECLIM, an Earth system model of intermediate complexity to perform simulations of the Holocene, the last millennium and the third millennium climates, as well as sensitivity experiments to identify the behaviour of the model under increased greenhouse gas concentrations and freshwater hosing. Moreover, we identified several parameter sets that yield different responses of the LOVECLIM model to a scenario of doubling of CO2 concentration and to freshwater hosing, although the simulated present-day climate remains within the range of observations. The parameter values were chosen within their range of uncertainty. There are nine “climatic” parameter sets, three “carbon cycle” parameter sets and three “ice sheet” parameter sets. Past and future climate simulations were performed with all or a subset of these 81 combinations of parameter sets. The model was run either with fixed-prescribed ice sheets or with an interactively coupled Greenland and Antarctic ice sheet model. Simulations of past climates were conducted in order to identify the subset of parameter sets that allow the best reproduction of observations and reconstructions. Simulations of future climate change then provided a range of model responses that were validated against past climate changes.
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/4088
    depositnumber: D/2012/1191/21
    Type
    Report
    Peer-Review
    Not pertinent
    Language
    eng
    Links
    NewsHelpdeskBELSPO OA Policy

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