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"Are natural climate forcings able to counteract the projected anthropogenic global warming ?"

dc.contributor.authorBertrand, C.
dc.contributor.authorvan Ypersele, J.-P.
dc.contributor.authorBerger, A.
dc.coverage.temporal21st century
dc.date2002
dc.date.accessioned2016-03-07T17:14:20Z
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-09T09:53:13Z
dc.date.available2016-03-07T17:14:20Z
dc.date.available2021-12-09T09:53:13Z
dc.identifier.urihttps://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/8586
dc.descriptionA two-dimensional global climate model is used to assess the climatic changes associated with the new IPCC SRES emissions scenarios and to determine which kind of changes in total solar irradiance and volcanic perturbations could mask the projected anthropogenic global warming associated to the SRES scenarios. Our results suggest that onldy extremely unldikely changes in total solar irradiance and/or volcanic eruptions would be able to overcome the simulated anthropogenic global warming over the century. Nevertheless, in the critical interval of the next two decades the externally-driven natural climate variability might possibly confuse the debate about temperature trends and impede detection of the anthropogenic climate change signal.
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherIRM
dc.publisherKMI
dc.publisherRMI
dc.relation.ispartofseriesClimatic Change 55
dc.title"Are natural climate forcings able to counteract the projected anthropogenic global warming ?"
dc.typeArticle
dc.subject.frascatiEarth and related Environmental sciences
dc.audienceGeneral Public
dc.audienceScientific
dc.subject.freeClimate forcing
dc.subject.freeanthropogenic
dc.subject.freeglobal warming
dc.subject.freeIPCC SRES emissions scenarios
dc.source.issueClimatic Change 55
dc.source.pagepp. 413-427
Orfeo.peerreviewedNot pertinent


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