Chaotic dynamics, Markov processes and climate predictability
chaotic dynamics; climate predictability; Markov process; sea surface temperature
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A systematic method for mapping deterministic chaos in general, and atmospheric and climate dynamics in particular, into a Markovian process is developed. The possibility of using the Markovian description for carrying out long-term statistical predictions is suggested, and illustrated on simple models and on data pertaining to sea surface temperature anomalies which can be reduced to one-dimensional maps.
CitationNicolis, C. (1990). Chaotic dynamics, Markov processes and climate predictability. , Tellus A, Vol. 42, Issue 4, 401-412, DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0870.1990.t01-2-00001.x.