Self‐oscillations and predictability in climate dynamics

dc.contributor.author	Nicolis, C.
dc.date	1984
dc.date.accessioned	2017-06-28T09:19:13Z
dc.date.available	2017-06-28T09:19:13Z
dc.identifier.uri	https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/5880
dc.description	A class of non‐linear climatic models giving rise to sustained oscillations is considered. The evolution equations are cast into a “normal form” which allows one to distinguish between two different types of quantities: a radial variable, which obeys a closed equation and has strong stability properties; and a phase variable which is extremely labile. It is shown that as a result of these peculiar stability properties, the disturbances or random fluctuations acting on the system tend to deregulate the oscillatory behavior. It is concluded that such a phenomenon is a basic reason for progressive loss of predictability.
dc.language	eng
dc.title	Self‐oscillations and predictability in climate dynamics
dc.type	Article
dc.subject.frascati	Earth and related Environmental sciences
dc.audience	Scientific
dc.source.title	Tellus A
dc.source.volume	36A
dc.source.issue	1
dc.source.page	1-10
Orfeo.peerreviewed	Yes
dc.identifier.doi	10.1111/j.1600-0870.1984.tb00217.x
dc.identifier.scopus	2-s2.0-84977706820