• Login
     
    View Item 
    •   ORFEO Home
    • Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
    • RMI publications
    • View Item
    •   ORFEO Home
    • Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
    • RMI publications
    • View Item
    JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

    Low-frequency variability and heat transport in a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model

    Authors
    Vannitsem, Stéphane
    Demaeyer, Jonathan
    De Cruz, Lesley
    Ghil, Michael
    Show allShow less
    Discipline
    Earth and related Environmental sciences
    Audience
    Scientific
    Date
    2015-07
    Publisher
    Elsevier
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Description
    We formulate and study a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean–atmosphere model with an emphasis on the impact of radiative and heat fluxes and of the frictional coupling between the two components. This model version extends a previous 24-variable version by adding a dynamical equation for the passive advection of temperature in the ocean, together with an energy balance model. The bifurcation analysis and the numerical integration of the model reveal the presence of lowfrequency variability (LFV) concentrated on and near a long-periodic, attracting orbit. This orbit combines atmospheric and oceanic modes, and it arises for large values of the meridional gradient of radiative input and of frictional coupling. Chaotic behavior develops around this orbit as it loses its stability; this behavior is still dominated by the LFV on decadal and multi-decadal time scales that is typical of oceanic processes. Atmospheric diagnostics also reveals the presence of predominant low- and high-pressure zones, as well as of a subtropical jet; these features recall realistic climatological properties of the oceanic atmosphere. Finally, a predictability analysis is performed. Once the decadal-scale periodic orbits develop, the coupled system’s short-term instabilities – as measured by its Lyapunov exponents – are drastically reduced, indicating the ocean’s stabilizing role on the atmospheric dynamics. On decadal time scales, the recurrence of the solution in a certain region of the invariant subspace associated with slow modes displays some extended predictability, as reflected by the oscillatory behavior of the error for the atmospheric variables at long lead times.
    Citation
    Vannitsem, Stéphane; Demaeyer, Jonathan; De Cruz, Lesley; Ghil, Michael (2015-07). Low-frequency variability and heat transport in a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model. , Physica D, Vol. 309, 71-85, Elsevier, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2015.07.006.
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/7235
    doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2015.07.006
    Type
    Article
    Peer-Review
    Yes
    Language
    eng
    Links
    NewsHelpdeskBELSPO OA Policy

    Browse

    All of ORFEOCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesDisciplinesThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesDisciplines
     

    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2016  DuraSpace
    Send Feedback | Cookie Information
    Theme by 
    Atmire NV