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    Statistical and dynamical properties of covariant Lyapunov vectors in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model – Multiscale effects, geometric degeneracy and error dynamics

    Authors
    Vannitsem, Stéphane
    Lucarini, Valerio
    Discipline
    Earth and related Environmental sciences
    Audience
    Scientific
    Date
    2016-05
    Publisher
    IOP Publishing
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Description
    We study a simplified coupled atmosphere-ocean model using the formalism of covariant Lyapunov vectors (CLVs), which link physically-based directions of perturbations to growth/decay rates. The model is obtained via a severe truncation of quasi-geostrophic equations for the two fluids, and includes a simple yet physically meaningful representation of their dynamical/thermodynamical coupling. The model has 36 degrees of freedom, and the parameters are chosen so that a chaotic behaviour is observed.There aretwo positive Lyapunov exponents (LEs), sixteen negative LEs, and eighteen near-zero LEs. The presence of many near-zero LEs results from the vast time-scale separation between the characteristic time scales of the two fluids, and leads to nontrivial error growth properties in the tangent space spanned by the corresponding CLVs, which are geometrically very degenerate. Such CLVs correspond to two different classes of ocean/atmosphere coupled modes. The tangent space spanned by the CLVs corresponding to the positive and negative LEs has, instead, a non-pathological behaviour, and one can construct robust large deviations laws for the finite time LEs, thus providing a universal model for assessing predictability on long to ultra-long scales along such directions. Interestingly, the tangent space of the unstable manifold has substantial projection on both atmospheric and oceanic components. The resultsshow the difficulties in using hyperbolicity as a conceptual framework for multiscale chaotic dynamical systems, whereas the framework of partial hyperbolicity seems better suited, possibly indicating an alternative definition for the chaotic hypothesis. They also suggest the need for an accurate analysis of error dynamics on different time scales and domains and for a careful set-up of assimilation schemes when looking at coupled atmosphereocean models.
    Citation
    Vannitsem, Stéphane; Lucarini, Valerio (2016-05). Statistical and dynamical properties of covariant Lyapunov vectors in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model – Multiscale effects, geometric degeneracy and error dynamics. , Journal of Physics A, Vol. 49, 224001, IOP Publishing, DOI: doi:10.1088/1751-8113/49/22/224001.
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/7238
    doi: http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1088/1751-8113/49/22/224001
    Type
    Article
    Peer-Review
    Yes
    Language
    eng
    Links
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