Statistical and dynamical properties of covariant Lyapunov vectors in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model – Multiscale effects, geometric degeneracy and error dynamics
Authors
Vannitsem, Stéphane
Lucarini, Valerio
Discipline
Earth and related Environmental sciences
Audience
Scientific
Date
2016-05Publisher
IOP Publishing
Metadata
Show full item recordDescription
We study a simplified coupled atmosphere-ocean model using the formalism of
covariant Lyapunov vectors (CLVs), which link physically-based directions of
perturbations to growth/decay rates. The model is obtained via a severe truncation
of quasi-geostrophic equations for the two fluids, and includes a simple yet
physically meaningful representation of their dynamical/thermodynamical coupling.
The model has 36 degrees of freedom, and the parameters are chosen so
that a chaotic behaviour is observed.There aretwo positive Lyapunov exponents
(LEs), sixteen negative LEs, and eighteen near-zero LEs. The presence of many
near-zero LEs results from the vast time-scale separation between the characteristic
time scales of the two fluids, and leads to nontrivial error growth
properties in the tangent space spanned by the corresponding CLVs, which are
geometrically very degenerate. Such CLVs correspond to two different classes of
ocean/atmosphere coupled modes. The tangent space spanned by the CLVs
corresponding to the positive and negative LEs has, instead, a non-pathological
behaviour, and one can construct robust large deviations laws for the finite time
LEs, thus providing a universal model for assessing predictability on long to
ultra-long scales along such directions. Interestingly, the tangent space of the
unstable manifold has substantial projection on both atmospheric and oceanic
components. The resultsshow the difficulties in using hyperbolicity as a conceptual
framework for multiscale chaotic dynamical systems, whereas the framework
of partial hyperbolicity seems better suited, possibly indicating an
alternative definition for the chaotic hypothesis. They also suggest the need for an
accurate analysis of error dynamics on different time scales and domains and for
a careful set-up of assimilation schemes when looking at coupled atmosphereocean
models.
Citation
Vannitsem, Stéphane; Lucarini, Valerio (2016-05). Statistical and dynamical properties of covariant Lyapunov vectors in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model – Multiscale effects, geometric degeneracy and error dynamics. , Journal of Physics A, Vol. 49, 224001, IOP Publishing, DOI: doi:10.1088/1751-8113/49/22/224001.Identifiers
Type
Article
Peer-Review
Yes
Language
eng