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    Radiosondes show that after decades of cooling, the lower stratosphere is now warming

    Authors
    Philipona, R.
    Mears, C.
    Fujiwara, M.
    Jeannet, P.
    Thorne, P.
    Bodeker, G.
    Haimberger, L.
    Hervo, M.
    Popp, C.
    Romanens, G.
    Steinbrecht, W.
    Stübi, R.
    Van Malderen, R.
    Show allShow less
    Discipline
    Natural sciences
    Audience
    Scientific
    Date
    2018-10-23
    Publisher
    American Geophysical Union
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Description
    Since the mid‐twentieth century, radiosonde and satellite measurements show that the troposphere has warmed and the stratosphere has cooled. These changes are primarily due to increasing concentrations of well‐mixed greenhouse gases and the depletion of stratospheric ozone. In response to continued greenhouse gas increases and stratospheric ozone depletion, climate models project continued tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling over the coming decades. Global average satellite observations of lower stratospheric temperatures exhibit no significant trends since the turn of the century. In contrast, an analysis of vertically resolved radiosonde measurements from 60 stations shows an increase of lower stratospheric temperature since the turn of the century at altitudes between 15 and 30 km and over most continents. Trend estimates are somewhat sensitive to homogeneity assessment choices, but all investigated radiosonde data sets suggest a change from late twentieth century cooling to early 21st century warming in the lower stratosphere, which is consistent with a reversal from ozone depletion to recovery from the effects of ozone‐depleting substances. In comparison, satellite observations at the radiosonde locations show only minor early 21st century warming, possibly due to the compensating effects of continued cooling above the radiosonde altitude range.
    Citation
    Philipona, R.; Mears, C.; Fujiwara, M.; Jeannet, P.; Thorne, P.; Bodeker, G.; Haimberger, L.; Hervo, M.; Popp, C.; Romanens, G.; Steinbrecht, W.; Stübi, R.; Van Malderen, R. (2018-10-23). Radiosondes show that after decades of cooling, the lower stratosphere is now warming. (American Geophysical Union, Ed.), Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 12, 509-522, American Geophysical Union, DOI: 10.1029/2018JD028901.
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/7286
    doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028901
    Type
    Article
    Peer-Review
    Yes
    Language
    eng
    Links
    NewsHelpdeskBELSPO OA Policy

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