• Login
     
    View Item 
    •   ORFEO Home
    • Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
    • RMI publications
    • View Item
    •   ORFEO Home
    • Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
    • RMI publications
    • View Item
    JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

    Model Inspired Predictors for Model Output Statistics (MOS)

    Authors
    Termonia, P.
    Deckmyn, A.
    Discipline
    Earth and related Environmental sciences
    Subject
    Model output statistics
    Model evaluation/performance
    Numerical weather prediction/forecasting
    Audience
    General Public
    Scientific
    Date
    2008
    Publisher
    IRM
    KMI
    RMI
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Description
    This article addresses the problem of the choice of the predictors for the multiple linear regression in model output statistics. Rather than devising a selection procedure directly aimed at the minimization of the final scores, it is examined whether taking the model equations as a guidance may render the process more rational. To this end a notion of constant fractional errors is introduced. Experimental evidence is provided that they are approximately present in the model and that their impact is sufficiently linear to be corrected by a linear regression. Of particular interest are the forcing terms in the coupling of the physics parameterization to the dynamics of the model. Because such parameterizations are estimates of subgrid processes, they are expected to represent degrees of freedom that are independent of the resolved-scale model variables. To illustrate the value of this approach, it is shown that the temporal accumulation of sensible and latent heat fluxes and net solar and thermal radiation utilized as predictors add a statistically significant improvement to the 2-m temperature scores.
    Citation
    Termonia, P.; Deckmyn, A. (2008). Model Inspired Predictors for Model Output Statistics (MOS). , Vol. 45, Issue Publication scientifique et technique n° - Wetenschappelijke en technische publicatie nr., IRM,
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/8539
    Type
    Book
    Peer-Review
    Yes
    Language
    eng
    Links
    NewsHelpdeskBELSPO OA Policy

    Browse

    All of ORFEOCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesDisciplinesThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesDisciplines
     

    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2016  DuraSpace
    Send Feedback | Cookie Information
    Theme by 
    Atmire NV