Skill of Medium-Range Hydrological Ensemble Predictions
| dc.contributor.author | Roulin, E. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Vannitsem, S. | |
| dc.coverage.temporal | 21st century | |
| dc.date | 2005 | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2016-03-07T16:16:50Z | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2021-12-09T09:53:27Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2016-03-07T16:16:50Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2021-12-09T09:53:27Z | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/8658 | |
| dc.description | A hydrological ensemble prediction system, integrating a water balance model with ensemble precipitation forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Ensemble Prediction System (EPS), is evaluated for two Belgian catchments. The skill of streamflow forecast for high flows is analyzed using a 6-yr period of archived EPS forecasts. The probabilistic skill of this hydrological prediction system is much better than the one based on historical precipitation inputs and extends beyond 9 days for both catchments. The skill is larger in winter than in summer. The use of this approach for operational forecasts is briefly discussed. | |
| dc.language | eng | |
| dc.publisher | IRM | |
| dc.publisher | KMI | |
| dc.publisher | RMI | |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 6, No. 5 | |
| dc.title | Skill of Medium-Range Hydrological Ensemble Predictions | |
| dc.type | Article | |
| dc.subject.frascati | Earth and related Environmental sciences | |
| dc.audience | General Public | |
| dc.audience | Scientific | |
| dc.subject.free | precipitation forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) | |
| dc.subject.free | Belgian catchments | |
| dc.subject.free | Hydrological prediction system | |
| dc.source.issue | Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 6, No. 5 | |
| dc.source.page | 729-744 | |
| Orfeo.peerreviewed | Not pertinent |
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