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    Spatial dependences among precipitation maxima over Belgium

    Authors
    Vannitsem, S.
    Naveau, P.
    Discipline
    Earth and related Environmental sciences
    Subject
    Hydrology
    precipitation
    Belgium
    seasons
    winter
    summer
    Audience
    General Public
    Scientific
    Date
    2007
    Publisher
    IRM
    KMI
    RMI
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Description
    For a wide range of applications in hydrology, the probability distribution of precipitation maxima represents a fundamental quantity to build dykes, propose flood planning policies, or more generally, to mitigate the impact of precipitation extremes. Classical Extreme Value Theory (EVT) has been applied in this context by usually assuming that precipitation maxima can be considered as Independent and Identically Distributed (IID) events, which approximately follow a Generalized Extreme Value distribution (GEV) at each recording site. In practice, weather stations records can not be considered as independent in space. Assessing the spatial dependences among precipitation maxima provided by two Belgium measurement networks is the main goal of this work. The pairwise dependences are estimated by a variogram of order one, also called madogram,that is specially tailored to be in compliance with spatial EVT and to capture EVT bivariate structures. Our analysis of Belgium precipitation maxima indicates that the degree of dependence varies greatly according to three factors: the distance between two stations, the season (summer or winter) and the precipitation accumulation duration (hourly, daily,monthly, etc.). Increasing the duration (from one hour to 20 days) strengthens the spatial dependence. The full independence is reached after about 50 km (100 km) for summer(winter) for a duration of one hour, while for long durations onldy after a few hundred kilometers. In addition this dependence is always larger in winter than in summer whatever is the duration. An explanation of these properties in terms of the dynamical processes dominating during the two seasons is advanced.
    Citation
    Vannitsem, S.; Naveau, P. (2007). Spatial dependences among precipitation maxima over Belgium. , Issue Nonldinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 14, p. 621-630, IRM,
    Identifiers
    uri: https://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/8720
    Type
    Article
    Peer-Review
    Not pertinent
    Language
    eng
    Links
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