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dc.contributor.authorVannitsem, Stéphane
dc.contributor.authorDemaeyer, Jonathan
dc.contributor.authorGhil, Michael
dc.date2021-05-14
dc.date.accessioned2022-02-16T14:53:51Z
dc.date.available2022-02-16T14:53:51Z
dc.identifier.citationVannitsem, S., Demaeyer, J., & Ghil, M. Extratropical low-frequency variability with ENSO forcing: A reduced-order coupled model study. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13, e2021MS002530. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002530,2021.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://orfeo.belnet.be/handle/internal/9796
dc.descriptionThe authors have investigated the variability of a simplified coupled ocean-atmosphere model for the Earth's midlatitudes, subject to the influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study reveals that multiple climates may coexist, each of which is characterized by distinct types of low-frequency variability (LFV) and predictability properties. When the ENSO forcing is periodic, these climates are fairly robust against perturbations, but when it is chaotic, small perturbations induce transitions between the different climates. These properties could have profound consequences for extratropical climate predictions, since ensemble averaging may no longer be a valid approach to ascertain the LFV signal.en_US
dc.languageengen_US
dc.publisherWileyen_US
dc.titleExtratropical low-frequency variability with ENSO forcing: A reduced-order coupled model studyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.subject.frascatiEarth and related Environmental sciencesen_US
dc.audienceScientificen_US
dc.source.titleJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systemsen_US
dc.source.volume13en_US
dc.source.pagee2021MS002530en_US
Orfeo.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1029/2021MS002530
dc.relation.belspo-projectB2/20E/P1/ ROADMAPen_US


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